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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13B…RETRANSMITTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
200 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

…DOLLY MADE LANDFALL IN SOUTH PADRE ISLAND…EXPECTED TO MOVE
FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TODAY…

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI…AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO PORT O’CONNOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM CDT…1900Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
OVER LAGUNA MADRE ABOUT 35 MILES…60 KM… NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND 30 MILES…51 KM…EAST SOUTHEAST OF
RAYMONDVILLE.

DOLLY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE MOVING
INLAND OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS LATER TODAY. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT TO
VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS
WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.

BECAUSE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF DOLLY HAS BEEN INTERACTING
WITH LAND…THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 95
MPH… 150 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS…ESPECIALLY
IN GUSTS…ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING
SHOULD BEGIN SOON AS THE EYE MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES…35 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES…220 KM. HARLINGEN TEXAS MEASURED 54 MPH…87 KM/HR SUSTAINED
WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 74 MPH…119 KM/HR.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE AT LANDFALL WAS 967 MB…28.56 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES…WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES…OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
BROWNSVILLE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED UP
TO A FOOT OF RAIN SO FAR OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL FAR SOUTH TEXAS.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 200 PM CDT POSITION…26.4 N…97.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…95
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…967 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Hurricane Dolly was downgraded to a Category 1 hurricane Wednesday afternoon, about an hour after it made landfall on South Padre Island, Texas, the the National Hurricane Center said.
Nobody wants to be caught unprepared.

« We’re looking at seventy-mile-per-hour winds or better, so we’re going to be prepared. We have everything pre-cut and labeled, ready to put up every year,” said one Texas resident.

« We recommend that you keep half a tank of fuel all the time during hurricane season it wont cost nearly as much as when it is time to fill to the top so that you can get a safe distance from the surge zones, » said Harris County Emergency Management coordinator, Mark Sloan.

Dolly was upgraded from a tropical storm Tuesday afternoon, with wind speeds strengthening to about 136 kilometres per hour.

At 5 a.m. Wednesday, the storm’s centre was about 105 kilometres east-southeast of Brownsville, moving northwest at about 13 kilometres per hour.

A hurricane warning was in effect for the coast of Texas, from Brownsville to Corpus Christi, and in Mexico from Rio San Fernando northward.

U.S. forecasters said the hurricane’s eye should hit the coast around midday Wednesday.

The U.S. Census Bureau said that based on Dolly’s projected path, about 1.5 million Texans could feel the storm’s effects.

The National Weather Service in Brownsville, said conditions were favorable for tornadoes into Wednesday morning, especially in deep south Texas and the adjacent coastal waters